Peer into the crystal ball

What will 2013 bring? Thoughts on devops and more

SteveHarrisJevgeniKabanovandDevopsBorat
crystal-ball

Steve Harris of CloudBees, the CEO of ZeroTurnaround and, erm, Devops Borat look at the past and future of the industry.

Steve
Harris, VP of Products, CloudBees
What three predictions do you have for the industry in
2013?

Enterprises will warm-up to public cloud, cool down on
private cloud
. Conventional enterprise wisdom will morph
from “too much business risk for us to use public cloud” to “too
much business risk if we don’t find a way to take advantage of
public cloud”.

Leading Java middleware vendors will finally be in
production in the public PaaS market
. First they
announced they’d do PaaS. Then they announced they’d done it, but
it wasn’t in production. Then they announced it would be in
production real soon now, but it really wasn’t. This year, you’ll
finally be able to use a traditional middleware vendor’s notion of
PaaS in production. It won’t be pretty.

Java will continue to make a comeback. The energy
and activity in the Java community has been on the rise for a while
now. It’s going to increase as ubiquitous cloud resources and the
flatter as-a-service world add more innovation fuel to the fire.
Even the most brazen hipsters will discover that the production
demands for scale, stability, manageability and performance make
Java backend systems the implementation strategy of choice.

What would be your personal “new year’s resolution” in terms of
tools, languages etc?

I’d like to find the time to get beyond “Hello World” on iOS and
deliver on a little app idea I had a while ago. Objective-C feels
like walking in a comfortable old pair of Smalltalk shoes, and that
would add to the fun.


Jevgeni Kabanov – CEO of
ZeroTurnaround

What three predictions do you have for the industry in
2013?

I really dislike making predictions of this kind, since you can
never really say much about the truly exciting stuff – the boring
stuff is predictable. But I like this adage: “The best way to
predict the future is to invent it.”

Ok, prepare for snarkiness…

  1. DevOps – There is a lot of noise
    around this, and though it’s not yet mainstream, these days every
    vendor with a product that is even tangentially related to it is
    slapping a “DevOps” label on top of it. LiveRebel at least is still
    firmly in the Ops category (although, it is made by
    Developers….). I predict that Oracle will announce a DevOps
    product in 2013, but won’t be released for some time. There is a
    rule for this, btw,  just add 5 years to the original date
    predicted and there you go! ;-)
  2. JVM languages – Regarding JVM
    languages, Java 8 is exciting and I see that being disruptive to
    other technologies that offer the same features. I also think that
    Scala uptake will continue to grow strong, occupying a particular
    niche.
  3. Platform as a Service – I predict
    that PaaS for Java is going to explode in 2013, but that the
    majority of them will struggle to find a growth area in the
    industry and ultimately not meet their long-term goals.

What were your personal highlights of the year?

From a personal point of view in 2012, I became CEO, spent a lot of
personal time focused on the launch of a whole new LiveRebel, and
spoke at about a dozen conferences. From a company perspective, I’m
really proud to have more than doubled our employee base since Dec
2011 and brought the entire ZeroTurnaround team to Crete once again
for a company retreat.

Despite our best efforts in 2012, millions of kittens
have still suffered untimely deaths due to Java redeploys. Next
year we resolve to cut the bloodbath down by 50%. Please help!
;-)


Devops Borat – Devops
Evangelist, Twitter Personality

My top 3 prediction for 2013 are:

  1. Number of expert on Twitter is get double.
  2. Cloud is able of guarantee 100% uptime with not extra of work
    from devops.
  3. 2 out of 3 prediction from expert on Twitter are prove of
    wrong. 

(You can read more thoughts from Devops_Borat in our
exclusive interview
.)

Crystal ball photo by garryknight,
Borat image by Greg
Scales
.

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